Population estimation is generally a straightforward process: any population must result from a past population number plus the births minus the deaths plus the net migration. This cohort-component method is often considered the ‘gold standard’ for population estimation (Gerland, 2014). However, the components of change (births, deaths, migrants) used to forecast a future population are… Read More
Unlocking Population Estimation Using Readily Available Data: Applying the Simplified Censal Ratio Method
![Figure 2: Figure 2 shows a graph depicting the correlation between the Censal Ratio Population estimate of 2019 (based on 2010 data) and the actual US Census Bureau’s 2019 population estimate of 2019. The x-axis shows a range of the 2019 censal ratio population estimate, ranging from 0 to 800,000. The y-axis shows a range of the 2019 population estimate and also ranges from 0 to 800,000. The graph demonstrates how the Censal Ratio Method produces a more closely accurate set of estimations than the symptomatic indicator alone.](https://population-dynamics-lab.csde.washington.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/censal_ratio_to_pop_plot-1200x1047.png)